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We are now just days away from the US presidential election, when American voters will choose between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. The campaign has been extraordinary, marked by Joe Biden’s withdrawal as a candidate, the assassination attempts on Donald Trump and the abandonment of various electoral norms.

Despite all the excitement and uncertainty surrounding the election, our focus in the coming months will be on the Fed rather than the White House. The winner of the Electoral College is unlikely to be a major factor when the Fed’s Open Markets Committee mulls over what action to take at its November and December meetings. Political rhetoric does not always become reality, and the new president’s policies will take time to feed through into the hard data that informs the Fed’s decisions.

For all the drama, though, the election remains finely balanced–especially in the crucial swing states. An election that’s too close to call and in this report, we consider what impact this may have on the world’s financial markets.



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