Skip to content

The Social Security Administration and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services recently announced key figures for the upcoming year.

After several years of above-average cost-of-living adjustments for Social Security, beneficiaries will receive a lower cost-of-living allowance (COLA) in 2025 based on the current inflation environment. Recipients will still get a 2.5% raise, which is lower compared to the 3.2% increase last year, and 8.7% increase in 2023. The adjustment for 2025 (2.5%) is more in line with the average increase over the last 20 years (2.6%).

For Medicare, there will be a slight rise in costs for 2025 as the monthly base premium for Medicare Part B increases from $174.70 to $185. Also, the annual deductible for all Medicare Part B beneficiaries will be $257 in 2025, an increase of $17 from 2024.  

On a positive note, beginning in 2025 all Medicare prescription drug plans will have a $2,000 cap on what you pay out-of-pocket for prescriptions drugs covered by your plan. This change eliminates a coverage gap that has existed for years in plans (also known as the “donut hole”).  For more information see Medicare’s “Costs in the coverage gap.”

As retirees (and workers) gauge their finances for the upcoming year, here are some key figures to consider.

The Impact of Inflation on Social Security

Note: The earnings test only applies in years before attaining full retirement age. A higher earnings amount ($62,160 for 2025) applies during the year of attaining full retirement age. If retirement benefits are withheld because of earnings, benefits will be increased beginning at full retirement age to account for benefits that were withheld.

Medicare Part B Premiums

Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Income based on modified adjusted gross income (MAGI), which includes tax-exempt interest income. MAGI is based on income reported on the tax return from two years prior.

Planning considerations

If possible, taxpayers may want to manage income heading into retirement to avoid facing higher Medicare Part B premiums (note that Medicare Part D premiums also increase at higher income levels). Be mindful that premiums are based on income tax returns from two years prior. For example, your tax return at age 63 will determine premiums when enrolling in Medicare at age 65.

It may be wise to avoid a large surge in income (from a Roth IRA conversion, for example). This influx in income may result in higher Medicare premiums. On a positive note, qualified distributions from Roth accounts are not factored into the income calculation to determine Medicare premiums. For that reason, partial Roth IRA conversions while still working may be a way to achieve tax diversification heading into retirement, while also avoiding higher Medicare Part B premiums in some cases. 

Regarding Social Security, those who are still working should not opt to claim benefits prior to their full retirement age since it’s likely that benefits will be withheld due to the earnings test. The earnings test does not apply once an individual reaches their full retirement age (age 67 for those born in 1960 or later). If longevity risk is a concern, consider delaying Social Security past full retirement age. Retirement benefit amounts will increase by 8% for each year delayed up to age 70.

For more insight on planning for Social Security benefits see our investor education resource “Five things you need to know about optimizing Social Security.”

For insight on Medicare benefits please refer to our investor education resource “Three key things to understand about Medicare.”



IMPORTANT LEGAL INFORMATION

This material is intended to be of general interest only and should not be construed as individual investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any security or to adopt any investment strategy. It does not constitute legal or tax advice. This material may not be reproduced, distributed or published without prior written permission from Franklin Templeton.

The views expressed are those of the investment manager and the comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as at publication date and may change without notice. The underlying assumptions and these views are subject to change based on market and other conditions and may differ from other portfolio managers or of the firm as a whole. The information provided in this material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any country, region or market. There is no assurance that any prediction, projection or forecast on the economy, stock market, bond market or the economic trends of the markets will be realized. The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount that you invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative nor a guarantee of future performance. All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal.

Any research and analysis contained in this material has been procured by Franklin Templeton for its own purposes and may be acted upon in that connection and, as such, is provided to you incidentally. Data from third party sources may have been used in the preparation of this material and Franklin Templeton ("FT") has not independently verified, validated or audited such data.  Although information has been obtained from sources that Franklin Templeton believes to be reliable, no guarantee can be given as to its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed and may be subject to change at any time without notice. The mention of any individual securities should neither constitute nor be construed as a recommendation to purchase, hold or sell any securities, and the information provided regarding such individual securities (if any) is not a sufficient basis upon which to make an investment decision. FT accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from use of this information and reliance upon the comments, opinions and analyses in the material is at the sole discretion of the user.

Franklin Templeton has environmental, social and governance (ESG) capabilities; however, not all strategies or products for a strategy consider “ESG” as part of their investment process.

Products, services and information may not be available in all jurisdictions and are offered outside the U.S. by other FT affiliates and/or their distributors as local laws and regulation permits. Please consult your own financial professional or Franklin Templeton institutional contact for further information on availability of products and services in your jurisdiction.

Issued in the U.S. by Franklin Templeton, One Franklin Parkway, San Mateo, California 94403-1906, (800) DIAL BEN/342-5236, franklintempleton.com. Investments are not FDIC insured; may lose value; and are not bank guaranteed.

You need Adobe Acrobat Reader to view and print PDF documents. Download a free version from Adobe's website.

CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are trademarks owned by CFA Institute.