Monthly Summary
- Municipals closed the first half of the year with outperformance month-to-date (MTD) and year-to-date (YTD) against most other fixed income sectors. In June, the Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index gained +0.96%. By comparison, the US Aggregate returned +0.24%, US Treasuries posted +0.28%, while corporate bonds trailed at +0.19%.
- Coming into 2026, we identified demand as the key driver of performance. Healthy demand has continued to offset record levels of tax exempt issuance, with supply running about 8% higher than in 2025.
- Underlying credit quality holds firm, bolstered by strong investment markets that have supported income tax revenues, along with pension and endowment funds.
- See the "Trending Topics" section for our 2026 mid-year outlook. Then read part two of Jennifer Johnston's Research Matters demographics series, which explores the "Silver Tsunami" and its impact on key health care sectors.
WHAT ARE THE RISKS?
All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Fixed income securities involve interest rate, credit, inflation and reinvestment risks, and possible loss of principal. As interest rates rise, the value of fixed income securities falls. Low-rated, high-yield bonds are subject to greater price volatility, illiquidity and possibility of default. Changes in the credit rating of a bond, or in the credit rating or financial strength of a bond’s issuer, insurer or guarantor, may affect the bond’s value. Derivative instruments can be illiquid, may disproportionately increase losses, and have a potentially large impact on performance. An investor may be subject to the federal alternative minimum tax, and state and local taxes may apply. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.
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